Is AI Safety a Pascal's Mugging?
Robert Miles AI Safety
Why leaders watch it
Reasoning on low-probability, high-impact risk, a lens for how leaders weigh tail risks.
Robert Miles examines whether the case for AI safety is a Pascal's mugging, a tiny probability of an enormous payoff. He argues it is not, because AI risk does not depend on vanishingly small probabilities.
Topics: Decision making & mental models
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